旅游数字足迹研究：热点与展望

在疫情蔓延、经济下行的背景下,开展旅游数字足迹研究,分析预测旅游消费行为,是推进旅游消费发展、推动国际国内经济"双循环"的重要基础工作.作为旅游信息化领域的新兴话题,旅游数字足迹是游客在通讯网络、互联网和物联网等泛在网络上留下的海量电子痕迹,真实反映了游客选择偏好和深层次的行为规律.国内外学者对这方面的研究已取得一定成果,但仍处于探索阶段.鉴于此,本研究辨析了旅游数字足迹的定义、类型和相关概念,阐明了旅游数字足迹的数据来源、特征和应用,分析了旅游数字足迹在游客人口特征、游客人格预测和游客行为分析领域的热点问题.最后,从理论体系构建、数据来源和预测方法精度等问题出发,对旅游数字足迹领域未来的研究方向进行了展望,为持续激发旅游消费潜力、推动旅游消费规模增长提供理论参考.     

An Improved Underwater Confrontation Simulation Method of Naval Amphibious Operational Training System

This paper described an improved underwater confrontation simulation method of naval amphibious operational training system. The initial position of submarine forces on the enemy is generated automatically, and the attacking distance model of torpedoes is established based on the kinematics theory, which is more flexible and reasonable to judge the launch condition compared to traditional method. The two kinds of confrontation behavior models on the enemy submarine are created to depict its tactical action from the defensive to the offensive as well as the contrary, ensuring that operational style is simulated more comprehensively and properly. The existing motion trajectory estimation and collision detection algorithms on operational platforms are also improved to reduce the iteration error and further enhance the detection accuracy of target hit.     

突发事件快速评估模型

突发事件发生初期,进行突发事件的快速综合评估,有利于及时、准确地把握事件的态势,以满足应急决策的时效性要求.为解决突发事件数据量较大,数据更新较快时,过于复杂的运算过程和计算软件缺乏以及已有软件兼容性低而难以满足应急决策的时效性要求的问题,本文简化了Simos过程和PROMETHEEⅡ方法,构建了突发事件快速评估模型,即SSPPM(Simple Simos'Procedure and PROMETHEEⅡModel).为了验证新模型的有效性,本文选取了两个数据进行实验.实验结果表明,在对评估速度的要求大于对精度的要求的突发事件控制阶段,新模型能快速综合多位应急决策者的意见,快速获取权重,简化评估过程,提高突发事件综合评估效率.     

结肠息肉内镜下治疗的体会

目的:探讨结肠息肉内镜下治疗的各种方法及效果.方法:通过肠镜检查8 024例确诊的各种形态、大小息肉1 326例共1 637颗,对于不同大小、形态的息肉,采用单一和联合的内镜治疗.结果:1 326例结肠息肉内镜治疗1 637颗,其中有4例因基底癌变转外科治疗,发生迟发性出血9例,再次内镜下止血成功;穿孔2例,1例钛夹修补成功,1例钛夹修补失败转外科治疗,并发症发生率为0.82%.结论:结肠息肉内镜下治疗是一种安全有效的方法.     

余额宝投资群体分析

随着互联网技术向金融领域的不断延伸,以阿里巴巴推出的余额宝为代表的互联网金融业务尤为引人注目。以问卷调查的方式,阐述了余额宝适用人群的调查信息,分析了余额宝适用人群的特点,为余额宝及互联网金融业的发展提供参考。     

普通话在线游戏学习系统的研究与应用

针对希望进一步掌握普通话口语学习的外国学习者,该研究提出了一种普通话游戏学习系统.系统的学习模式结合了计算机技术和语言学研究成果,打破了传统的教学模式的限制,对学习者进行实时评测,提供学习报告与口语学习的最终评定结果.结果表明,该系统能够较为有效地辅助外国学习者的普通话口语学习.     

The expansion of GPCR transactivation-dependent signalling to include serine/threonine kinase receptors represents a new cell signalling frontier

G protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) signalling is mediated through transactivation-independent signalling pathways or the transactivation of protein tyrosine kinase receptors and the recently reported activation of the serine/threonine kinase receptors, most notably the transforming growth factor-β receptor family. Since the original observation of GPCR transactivation of protein tyrosine kinase receptors, there has been considerable work on the mechanism of transactivation and several pathways are prominent. These pathways include the “triple membrane bypass” pathway and the generation of reactive oxygen species. The recent recognition of GPCR transactivation of serine/threonine kinase receptors enormously broadens the GPCR signalling paradigm. It may be predicted that the transactivation of serine/threonine kinase receptors would have mechanistic similarities with transactivation of tyrosine kinase pathways; however, initial studies suggest that these two transactivation pathways are mechanistically distinct. Important questions are the relative importance of tyrosine and serine/threonine transactivation pathways, the contribution of transactivation to overall GPCR signalling, mechanisms of transactivation and the range of cell types in which this phenomenon occurs. The ultimate significance of transactivation-dependent signalling remains to be defined but it appears to be prominent and if so will represent a new cell signalling frontier.     

同城即时配送问题基于多预测场景的在线调度

同城即时配送是随现代电子商务而产生的新问题,该问题呈现出极强的动态性与求解时间的紧迫性,并具有商户与顾客一对多的关系、车辆需要多次往返商户取货、货物取送有时效要求等诸多新特征,无法依赖现有研究而求解.针对这一问题,建立了基于多预测场景的在线优化调度方法,将带有预测订单的多个场景整合到路线规划过程,通过每个场景的方案计算,以及多场景方案的整合,得到了车辆赖以运行的集成方案,提高了调度方案面对未来不确定需求的适应性;所建立的调度系统在新订单进入时立即响应,在系统闲置时则采用大邻域搜索技术不断优化未完成的任务方案.最后,在具有200～300个日订单的大连市某同城即时配送公司的真实数据上,验证了在线调度方法的有效性和可行性.     

集合转换卡尔曼滤波同化的一种分析方案

集合转换卡尔曼滤波在处理非线性观测资料的同化时,通常对非线性观测算子做简单的线性化处理,这会带来较大的舍入误差,降低同化效果。通过对状态变量和观测变量的转换,将观测算子视为预报算子的一部分,对传统的同化算法进行改进,减小了同化中的误差。以典型的Lorenz-96预报模型来验证算法,对于较大模型误差或较强非线性观测算子的情形,结果好于传统的方法。